Natural Disasters Cuntry Profile Series

Population:30,675,398 (1998)
Area:3,851,794 Square Miles
GDP:$949 Billion
Insurance Department:IBC - Insurance Bureau of Canada http://ibc.ca/English/intro.htm
Political:Federation with Parliamentary Democracy
Monetary Unit:Canadian Dollar 1 to $ .6501 U.S (03/8/01)
Regulatory Environment:  Requires local insurance carrier

The Canadian property-and-casualty sector of the insurance market insures natural-hazard losses to property. During 1999 over $38.7 billion in written premiums were made against controllable assets of over $53 billion (IBC, 1996). On average, during the last five years, over $1 billion in losses per year were caused by natural hazards (EPC, 1996).

Similar to the USA, the costs of natural hazards losses in Canada have been increasing. Tornado losses over the past few years have cost over $300 million on average, flooding in Quebec cost over $1 Billion, while a 1998 ice storm produced losses estimated at $1.6 Billion (adjusted to year 2000). Increased wealth and urbanization are two factors having increased the potential losses arising from natural hazards.

Prior to 1995, the worst year on record for cat losses involved $450 Million in losses. Most experts agree a worst case event would be an earthquake near Vancouver producing losses estimated at $9 to $12 Billion, far surpassing the $2.3 Billion cat capacity available in the Canadian market.

The National Building Code of Canada (NBCC) uses the 10-year, 30-year and 100-year return-period wind pressure. The highest 50-year return period winds (140 kph) are located along the coast of British Columbia and in the eastern provinces, and result from low surface roughness (low friction) associated with water surfaces (Etkin and Maarouf, 1995). Cumulatively, strong wind events cause the most insurance losses in Canada (Davenport, 1994) and can be caused by tornadoes, tropical cyclones, extra-tropical cyclones, downburst and microbursts, gust fronts of thunderstorms, and general atmospheric turbulence. In earthquake-prone regions of Canada, the best building codes were accepted in 1985 and post 1994 construction. Regulation and actual practices vary by region. In any event, the threat from ensuing fires is often overlooked in building codes.

Changing demographics place more and more insurable equity near the population centers along the West Coast of Canada. This is where the greatest potential for loss, (up to an 9.0 earthquake - ?), exists in Canada.

Accumulation Assessment Zones Earthquake

Canadian CRESTA Accumulation Zone Map

The greatest losses on the east Coast come from wind, freeze, and flooding. Although not as great as a potential EQ loss, these perils are more frequent and costly to the insurance industry.

The Prairie region of Canada is also subject to natural hazards however the loss there is not as severe as at either coast due to limited population densities.

GEOPHYSICAL HAZARDS
Earthquake

During the last 100 years, there have been eight events of magnitude 7 or 8 in Canada. Canada has a long history with earthquakes in seismic areas where much of its present population now lives. The map following shows these risk zones which occur in four principal areas: the west coast in a continuous belt from Vancouver and Victoria north to southern Yukon Territory, the Mackenzie Valley of the Northwest Territories, the eastern Arctic Islands and in southeastern Canada - Ottawa, St. Lawrence valleys, and offshore south of the island of Newfoundland.

Earthquakes along the West Coast are caused by the interaction of the North American and Pacific Plates which slide along each other at a rate of 2-3 inches per year. Further south, the Juan de Fuca plate is thrust subducting beneath the continent. This type of seismicity is capable of producing large magnitude events. The largest historical earthquake (witnessed and documented by civilization) in this region occurred on January 26, 1700. The 1700 earthquake was estimated to be a Magnitude 9 and in addition to the tremendous shaking, it produced a great Tsunami that caused destruction as far away as Japan.

The other area of Canadian seismicity exposing tremendous amounts of insurable equity is situated within a continental plate. In this region, along the St Lawrence Valley, seismicity is believed to be caused by internal plate pressure caused by the expanding forces of the Mid-Atlantic Ridge pushing the North American plate westward. This pressure reactivates old zones of weakness causing them to readjust.

Construction

The National Research Council (NRC) makes its recommendations about the National Building Code of Canada (NBCC) nevertheless construction standards rest with the provinces. Saskatchewan, Quebec, New Brunswick, and Nova Scotia have adopted the 1990 National Building Code with the remaining provinces doing so in 1994. However, municipal enforcement is uneven and there is a lack of knowledge concerning the different primary and secondary hazards associated with various regions.

The age of the building stock must also be considered. Most buildings built before 1994 are not up to code. It is estimated that only half of those built between 1960 and 1990 are capable of surviving an earthquake. Buildings built before 1941 are fully susceptible.

The threat of conflagration by ensuing fire is real. This is most evident in highly concentrated areas such as Montreal or in areas having substantial frame constructed building inventories with high wind speeds.

In 1995, the property and casualty sector of the insurance market registered total sales of $17.6 Billion (Canadian) against assets of $41 Billion. On average the Canadian Insurance market pays $1 Billion in losses due to natural hazards. It is estimated that a major earthquake in the Vancouver area would cause at least $9-12 Billion in direct damages. It is also expected that post damage inflation, upgrading damaged buildings to meet new codes, and the number of buildings declared as a constructive total loss due to safety reasons would increase that loss significantly.

 DateMagComments
11/26/ 17009.0Cascadia subduction zone. Recorded widely in oral native accounts and by geological evidence for subsidence and a tsunami along the outer coast; confirmed by a tsunami record in Japan. Extent of damage is unknown.
212/15/18727.4Washington-British Columbia border. Widely felt.
31/11,/19096.0Near the south end of the Strait of Georgia at a depth of about 65 km.
42/4/19186.0Revelstoke, B.C. felt in the B.C. interior
512/6/19186.9Vancouver Island. Widely felt. Some minor damage near Estevan Point.
65/26/19297.0Pacific Ocean, just south of the Queen Charlotte Islands.
76/23/19467.3Central Vancouver Island. Widely felt. Extensive damage along the east coast of Vancouver Island; one person was drowned.
88/22/19498.1Pacific Ocean, west of the Queen Charlotte Islands. Felt over a wide area of western North America. Canada's largest earthquake. Some damage on the Queen Charlotte Islands.
96/24/19707.4South of the Queen Charlotte Islands. Widely felt.

 DateMagComments
12/5/16637.0Charlevoix-Kamouraska region, Québec. Widely felt. Reports of vast landslides in the St. Lawrence, Batiscan and Saint-Maurice valleys.
29/16/17325.8Near Montréal, Québec. Widely felt. About 300 houses damaged in the city of Montréal. No injuries.
312/15/17916.0Charlevoix-Kamouraska region, Québec. Widely felt. Some damage at Baie-Saint-Paul and Les Éboulements.
410/17/18606.0Charlevoix-Kamouraska region, Québec. Widely felt. Minor damage at Rivière-Ouelle.
510/20/18706.5Charlevoix-Kamouraska region, Québec. Widely felt. Minor damage at Baie-Saint-Paul.
63/1/19256.7Charlevoix-Kamouraska region, Quebec. Widely felt. Considerable damage along the St. Lawrence River near the epicentre and some damage at Québec [city], Trois-Rivières and Shawinigan.
711/1/19356.2Québec-Ontario border. Felt over much of eastern Canada. Minor damage at Témiscaming, Québec and North Bay and Mattawa, Ontario.
89/4/19445.6Ontario-New York border. Widely felt. Damage in Cornwall, Ontario, in Massena, New York and in nearby communities.
911/25/19886.0Saguenay region of Quebec. Felt in a 1 000 kilometre radius from the epicentre. Damage at Jonquière, Chicoutimi, La Baie, Québec, and as far away as Montréal.

GEOPHYSICAL HAZARDS
Volcano, Tsunami, Landslide, and Sea

Volcano

Most of Canada's volcanic activity is confined to British Columbia and the Yukon. The hazard posed by volcanic eruption in this area is directly related to the type of materials erupted and the number of structures exposed. While there has been little recent activity, many of the volcanoes in this area are still active. Extreme hazards are associated with composite volcanoes which have violent explosive eruptions and can cause extensive damage of up to many hundreds of square miles.

Volcanic Activity in Western Canada

The major hazard, aside from volcanic lava flow, is the spewing of ash. Ash can be propelled many miles and ranges in size up to that of a house. The risk is to buildings not designed to carry such a load, in addition the plumes can and do affect aviation. Jets flying through plumes will experience engine failure.

Tsunamis

Tsunamis are huge ocean waves caused by earthquakes or volcanoes that erupt under water. The waves of the tsunami can move large distances and their speed can reach more than 800 kilometres per hour. In deep waters, tsunamis are less than a yard high. However, when they reach shallow waters or narrow bays, the waves pile up into a tall wall of water which causes devastation to things on shore.

Historical Tsunamis Affecting Canada

 YearComments
11700British Columbia outer coast. A large earthquake on the Cascadia subduction zone caused a tsunami much larger than the 1964 tsunami.
21929Newfoundland south coast. On November 18, 1929, a submarine earthquake (magnitude 7.2) beneath the Grand Banks south of Newfoundland caused an underwater landslide. This broke 12 trans-Atlantic cables in 28 places and also set up a seismic sea-wave (tsunami). The wave was as much as five metres high when it struck the south coast of the Burin Peninsula of Newfoundland, sweeping away houses and causing an estimated $1 million in damage. Twenty-seven people were drowned.
31960British Columbia outer coast. A magnitude 9.5 earthquake in Chile caused a 1.2 metre wave at the Tofino tide gauge. There was damage to log booms along the west coast of Vancouver Island and in the Queen Charlotte Islands.
41964British Columbia outer coast. A magnitude 9.2 earthquake in Alaska caused a 2.4 metre wave at the Tofino tide gauge. There was extensive damage along the west coast of Vancouver Island. The amplitude in Alberni was over 6 metres. There was $10 million in damage and damage to 320 buildings.

Landslides

In the past century landslides have caused many deaths and have cost billions of dollars in damage. Landslides can occur in all parts of the country, including flatlands as well as mountains. Hazards include the impact of rapidly moving debris, the collapse of ground beneath structures and the secondary effects such as river damming and landslide-generated shock waves.

Historical Landslides

DateLocationComments
1841QuébecRockslide onto houses on Champlain Street
1877Sainte-Geneviève-de-Batiscan, QuébecLandslide in Leda Clay
1889QuébecRockslide onto houses on Champlain Street
1895Saint-Luc-de-Vincennes, QuébecLandslide in Leda Clay
1908Notre-Dame-de-la-Salette, QuébecA landslide in Leda Clay into the Rivière Lièvre caused a wave containing blocks of ice which destroyed homes
1962Rivière Toulnustouc, QuébecWorkers killed by landslide in marine clay caused by blasting
1971St-Jean-Vianney, QuébecRapid retrogressive flowslide in Leda Clay swept away 40 homes
Western Canada
DateLocationComments
1891North Pacific Cannery, BCDebris flow and flood caused by the breach of the landslide dam after heavy rains
1897Red Mountain, BCDebris flow struck railway camp
1903Frank, AlbertaRock avalanche buried the coal mining town of Frank
1905Spences Bridge, British ColumbiaLandslide into the Thompson River caused a wave which swept victims away
1909New Westminster, BCSlump of railway embankment caused a train to derail
1915Jane Camp, BCRock avalanche from above portal of mine swept into mining camp
1921Britannia Beach, BCOutburst flood caused by breach of landslide dam destroyed over 50 houses
1957Prince Rupert, BCDebris avalanche triggered by heavy rains buried 3 houses
1964Ramsay Arm, BCDebris flow caused by heavy rains struck logging camp
1965Granduc Mine, BCSnow avalanche struck sleeping quarters of mining camp
1971North Route Cafe, BCSnow avalanche destroyed roadside cafe
1981M-Creek Bridge, Highway 99, BCCars plunged into creek after debris flow had destroyed bridge during heavy rains

Sea

In the past century landslides have caused many deaths and have cost billions of dollars in damage. Landslides can occur in all parts of the country, including flatlands as well as mountains. Hazards include the impact of rapidly moving debris, the collapse of ground beneath structures and the secondary effects such as river damming and landslide-generated shock waves. Many hazards to shipping, structures, fishing, navigation, and communication exist offshore. Icebergs, fog, tidal surge, and sea ice as well as high winds and seas are capable of causing large losses to Canadian industries.

ATMOSPHERIC HAZARDS
Tornadoes, Hail Storms, Cyclones, Winter Storms, Floods, and Lightning

Tornadoes

Canada is second only to the United States in Tornado frequency. Nevertheless Canada has never experienced an F5 Tornado and most Canadian Tornadoes are under F3. On the above map, each color indicates the number of tornadoes which have historically occurred in an area of 10,000 square kilometers. Northern Canada does not have enough information to accurately estimate Tornado frequency, however considering how tornadoes form it is thought that this area of Canada will have very few tornadoes.

In Canada, more than 70 tornadoes a year strike the populated regions, with most occurring during the months of April through October (June and July the most active). The highest risk of tornadoes is in Southern Ontario followed by south central Alberta, southern Saskatchewan and Manitoba, northeastern Ontario, and western Quebec. Fortunately most Canadian tornadoes are weak (only 9 of F4 have ever been recorded - all in Ontario) and do not cause extensive damage.

However, two recent tornadoes in Ontario and Alberta destroyed over 1000 buildings each, killed over 40 people (combined) and caused losses of up to $300 Million in 1985 Canadian dollars. Similar events normalized to current populations, wealth, and inflation are expected to cause losses approaching $1 Billion.

Hail

All of Canada is subject to Hail Storms, with most occurring in the West and in southwestern Ontario and in the Alberta region particularly near Calgary. These regions can expect up to ten hailstorms each year. The rest of British Columbia, Ontario and the Plains receive an average of three hailstorms per year. The Eastern part of Canada's maritime influence prevents large hailstones from forming and as such experiences less severe hail storms. Hailstorms last from 6 to 10 minutes and are most common during the afternoons from May to July.

The greatest risk is to farmer's crops and to homes and cars. For the farming community, small hail pellets can be equally disastrous as large hail pellets to crops. Hail can strike at up to130 kilometres per hour, shredding crops, damaging structures and vehicles, and injuring people and animals.

The worst insurable hailstorm loss in Canada as of mid 1996 was the Calgary hailstorm of September 7, 1991 (item 2 on the map). A 30-minute downpour caused an estimate $$450 million in damages (Canadian National Report 1996).

Cyclones

There are two types of cyclones that can effect Canada: Tropical Cyclones and Extra-Tropical Cyclones. In North America, Tropical Cyclones are called Hurricanes with all striking between June and November while the ocean surface is warmest.

Hurricanes rarely reach eastern Canada and if they do they are mere remnants of their past selves. Nevertheless they do exhaust their energy, discharging heavy rain and strong winds which cause floods as they pass.

Canada's best-known hurricane was Hurricane Hazel, which affected Ontario on October 14-15, 1954. It is remembered for flooding as the seven inches of rain which hit Toronto caused extensive flooding and 80 deaths. Surprisingly so, British Columbia can also be affected by typhoons originating off Asia as they migrate past the Pacific. Typhoon Freda hit Victoria and Vancouver on October 12, 1962 causing seven deaths and extensive damage.

Mid-latitude cyclones are more significant than tropical cyclones are to Canada. Mid-latitude cyclones (extra- tropical cyclones) can affect Canada at any time but appear to be most severe in winter. During the winter, they often cause blizzards, freezing rain (i.e. glitter storms), and heavy snowfall, whereas in the summer they cause intense rainfall activity, tornadoes, and produce hailstorms.

Mid-latitude storms frequently affect the Great Lakes and the Atlantic and Pacific coasts of Canada. Aside from the flooding and winter freeze, much of the damage results from wave action against the coastline. Marine infrastructure (oil rigs, sea vessels,etc.) are the most severe marine hazard. The storm surge associated with these cyclones has caused damage to property and loss of life. The March 15, 1993 cyclone produced waves in excess of 30 m and sank the Gold Bond Conveyor off the coast of Nova Scotia killing 33 crew (Canadian National Report - IDNDR, 1994). High storm waves, especially at high tides, can erode coastlines leading to the collapse of structures and buildings.

In winter, Canadians can expect blizzard conditions and heavy precipitation over widespread areas, in the form of snow, sleet and/or freezing rain with severe ice storms. These storms cause great damage. Blizzards can happen throughout all of Canada, but are more common in the prairie regions (Stewart et al., 1995). For example, in March of 1993, a mid-latitude cyclone caused a severe blizzard and killed more than 240 people. Livestock perishes from exposure to blizzards each year (Stewart et al., 1995).

Freezing rain is a peril that can cause severe damage, especially to power transmission lines, telecommunications infrastructure, buildings, and trees, as well as to road conditions and traffic. Freezing rain can continue for days. The largest incidences occur east of the Great Lakes and in the Maritimes.

In addition, extreme cold temperatures are associated with continental Arctic air masses. Temperatures can go below -40°F. The winter also produces many lake affect snowstorms over localized regions (usually less than 25 miles inland) where one portion of a city may be inundated by one foot of snow per day, while other parts may receive none at all.

Geomagnetic storms are probably one of the least-known atmospheric hazards, occurring mostly in the high northern mid-latitudes. These storms are directly caused by solar flare activity. Normally shielded by the magnetosphere, the electrons and proton plasma or solar wind may come in contact with the earth and are directed to the Northern hemispheres by the magnetosphere where they can cause havoc on certain electric industries. On March 13, 1989, a powerful geomagnetic storm occurred causing a major power failure from northern Quebec to Montreal with losses between $10 and $100 million (Lerner, 1995). Geomagnetic storms can also produce satellite drag, disruption of ground and satellite communication, ship navigation systems, and failure of orbiting satellites (Bone, 1991). Artificial satellites may decay out of orbit earlier than expected (e.g. SkyLab, July 1979) or these storms can cause orbiting satellites to execute phantom commands, causing major malfunctions of on-board computer systems. In 1994, a $250 million Canadian communications satellite went off line for nearly six-months (Lerner, 1995).

Floods

Floods are one of the most significant natural hazards in Canada. They have high frequency and can be severe.

Flooding can have relatively rapid speed of onset, can affect large areas, and can cause extensive losses to property and life. The worst flood disaster in world history occurred in the Saguenay River valley in Quebec (due to excessive rainfall) causing more than $1 billion in damages. Damage can result after the event from back-up or runoff if their drainage systems are inadequate.

It is difficult to provide a realistic representation of flood-prone areas in Canada because there are so many potential causes of flooding. Areas most likely to have problems include all of southern Ontario and Quebec, the southern half of British Columbia, isolated regions of southern Saskatchewan and Manitoba and most of the Maritimes. The main causes of flooding in Canada are spring ice jams and snowmelt, and heavy summer rainfall.

Lightening

Lightening should be considered as it does pose a major problem in its ability to ignite forest fires. It is estimated that 35% of Canada's forest fires are the result of lightening strikes and that these strikes account for 85% of the area burned. These fires destroy lumber equipment and mills as well as standing timber.

For more information please contact any of the following sources used in completing this paper:

Geological Survey of Canada http://www.pgc.nrcan.gc.ca/
Coping with Natural Hazards in Canada (A study written for the Round Table on Environmental Risk, Natural Hazards, and the Insurance Industry
By
Soren E. Brun
David Gesink Law
Lindsay Wallace
Rodeny White
http://www.utoronto.ca/env/nh/title.htm
Meteorological Hazards http://www.icomm.ca/hazards/meteorological/index.html
National Earthquake Hazards Program http://www.seismo.rncan.gc.ca
United States Geological Survey
Canadian Community Atlas (Source for most of the maps used in this report) http://cgdi.gc.ca/ccatlas/hazardnet/a_contents/content.htm

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